2022 NASCAR Talladega odds, start time, TV channel: Surprising GEICO 500 model picks, predictions, best bets

There have already been more surprise winners than usual to open the 2022 NASCAR calendar. Drivers will now turn their attention to Talladega Superspeedway for the 2022 GEICO 500 on Sunday. NASCAR at Talladega is one of the most varied events in the sport, creating an intriguing dynamic for bettors. Should you aim for long shots with your 2022 GEICO 500 bets and NASCAR Talladega picks? The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET on FOX (streaming now on FuboTV).

Ryan Blaney has won two of his last five starts at Talladega, one reason he is the 10-1 co-favorite with Joey Logano in the latest 2022 GEICO 500 odds. Denny Hamlin and Chase Elliott are both listed at 12- 1 in the 2022 NASCAR Talladega racetrack, while there are a handful of other drivers like Kyle Larson and Bubba Wallace at 14-1 and 15-1. Before you browse the 2022 GEICO 500 starting lineup and make 2022 NASCAR Talladega predictions, be sure to see the latest 2022 NASCAR Talladega picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix for win the 2021 NASCAR Cup championship.

In total, he took five of Larson’s wins in a historic season and also went 12-7 on his head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 season. Then, last month, Ross Chastain was well positioned to win in Austin, giving him a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds implied. Anyone who followed his lead on those games saw huge returns on their NASCAR picks.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR Talladega 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 GEICO 500 standings.

Best GEICO 500 Predictions 2022

A surprise: The model is high on Aric Almirola, even though he is a long shot of 20-1 in the final NASCAR 2022 at Talladega. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. Almirola has been excellent at this track, placing in the top 10 in eight of his last 11 starts, including five top-five finishes.

He picked up a win at Talladega in the fall of 2018 and finished third in June 2020. That’s not the only superspeedway track he’s had success at, as he finished fifth in the Daytona 500. The model from SportsLine has identified Almirola as an excellent bet. option in NASCAR at the Talladega starting grid.

And a huge shocker: Denny Hamlin, one of the Vegas favorites at 12-1, stumbles big and fails to crack the top five. There are much better values ​​on the 2022 GEICO 500 starting grid. Despite 47 career NASCAR Cup Series wins, the 41-year-old is still in the hunt for his first championship and the start of 2022 has been a tough one in off a win at the Toyota Owners 400 in Richmond.

Hamlin has finished outside the top 10 in his other eight starts this season and is currently 23rd in the NASCAR standings. Despite the win, Hamlin has never been in the top 20 of the standings this year, while 31 of the 40 laps he has led this season have come in Las Vegas.

How to Make NASCAR Talladega 2022 Picks

The model is also targeting three other drivers with NASCAR 2022 at Talladega odds of 15-1 or more to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the GEICO 500 2022? And what long shots make a race at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR odds at Talladega below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full predicted 2022 GEICO 500 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

GEICO 500 Ratings 2022

Ryan Blaney 10-1
Joey Logan 10-1
Denny Hamlin 12-1
Chase Elliott 12-1
Kyle Larson 14-1
Austin Cindric 14-1
Kyle Busch 15-1
Briscoe chase 15-1
Brad Keselowski 15-1
Bubba Wallace 15-1
William Byron 17-1
Kevin Harvick 18-1
Alex Bowman 18-1
Aric Almirola 20-1
Tyler Red Dick 25-1
Kurt Busch 25-1
Chris Buescher 25-1
Christopher Bell 28-1
Martin Truex Jr. 30-1
Michael McDowell 30-1
Ross Chestnut 35-1
Austin Dillon 35-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 35-1
Cole Custer 40-1
Harrison Burton 50-1
Daniel Suarez 50-1
Justin Haley 50-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Daniel Hemric 75-1
Todd Gilliland 100-1
David Ragan 125-1
Ty Dillon 125-1
Corey Lajoie 125-1
Noah Gragson 200-1
Landon Cassill 200-1
Greg Biffle 500-1
Cody Ware 1000-1
JJ Yeley 1000-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1

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