God’s Tipster is betting four races, including a long shot in the 2nd
Recap of Wednesday’s race at Churchill Downs:
(All US ratings)
Replays of yesterday’s Churchill Downs races can be found here:
Race 1: 1st @ 0.90 / 1 ð¥ð¥ð¥ð¥ð¥
Race 3: 2nd @ 0.30 / 1
Race 5: 1st @ 2.50 / 1 ð¥ð¥ð¥ð¥ð¥
Race 9: 1st @ 1.50 / 1 ð¥ð¥ð¥ð¥ð¥
Day of three victories! ??
Our day started on a winning note with Hayden’s ravages in Race 1 fighting for first place and decisively pulling away down the home stretch. We have a 4/5 odds here in the US so hopefully a few members have come close to the 2/1 morning line. In Race 3, Steel dance was beaten in the lead by the 6 as a big favorite and could not run this one in the section. In retrospect, this was a bad low odds bet. Our only loser of the day. I’ll make this one my own. In Race 5, Col de Kasserine gave us our second winner of the day in the lead and shooting 5/2 here in the US. In Race 9, Perfect love followed a fast pace set by wicked ecstasy and turned out to be the best in a wire workout.
Head to the beautiful South Ozone Park where we will have sunny skies and cool temperatures at Aqueduct with a fast main track and firm turf course. We saw some longshots click on Saturday at Aqueduct and we’re after our part. Six of today’s nine races are on turf as the turf season ends in a few weeks. Let’s get started!
Thursday choice for the aqueduct:
Race 1: Balthus – 1 victory point (US Morning Line odds: 9/2)
The young girls run a mile and three sixteenths on the lawn in a race that could easily be mistaken for a Saratoga maiden race. Quality runners from top to bottom and my selection is a named second starter Balthus who struggled a bit in the first round of a first 1 1/4 effort and wasn’t really asked to run until late in the game for the first time. He runs for world-class connections from Chad Brown and Irrad ortiz who have combined for a whopping 39% so far this meet. I love that Irad is staying here when he probably had the option to ride a horse Conglomerate for the stables of Klaravich and he took the money the first time. Since his first start he has received 7 training sessions. They prepared him well for this and I am looking for a much improved effort today from this well behaved son of the great Galileo.
Race 2: Polka Prince – 1 victory point (US Morning Line odds: 12/1)
Our goal for Thursday is to participate in a first NY grass turf race and among the runners who have already been to the station, none are better in the world. Prince of Polka is interesting in that he makes his debut for a barn that won with 2 of their top 6 starters in the competition and has a 50%% in the money. Coach Mike maker debuted this one for Three Diamonds Farms – his best barn and a look back in the past five years – in his first turf debut in today’s racing circuit with the racer from ‘today, he wins 20% of the time and has touched the board 60% of the time (just missed 80%). He also attracted the best rider in the country – Irrad ortiz, which says that this first starter could be well intentioned. This runner’s mother had good turf numbers and gave birth to a three-time turf winner in Mopolka. Worth it with 12/1 odds.
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Race 4: Sidd Finch – 1 victory point (US Morning Line odds: 6/1)
The turf runners cover a mile and a sixteenth and this is our first of two runners from Georges Tisserand I chose today. I’m going to be honest in that I generally don’t like his horses, but today he has a few that look good. Sidd finch has the second best overall court speed figure on turf and shares the best track speed and distance figure with another on the court but this other runner (bar fourteen) is breaking from the outside and will have a lot of pressure on the pace as the race seems to be preparing well for Sidd Finch. Good value for money at 6/1.
Race 8: Battle Scars – 1 victory point (US Morning Line odds: 6/1)
The New York breed allowance runners go a mile and a sixteenth on the grass here and a few of them have been battling each other, so I take the new face – War injuries who comes from Hawthorne where he just ran in the 100k Hawthorne Derby. Although he didn’t win that day, he won his first two starts and he’s now running for Georges Tisserand who has won with 20% of his turf runners here at Aqueduct in the past five years. In fact, Weaver created a half-sister of this runner named My lips are sealed almost a year ago to the day and this rider won for those same connections on the Aqueduct turf course. And this one also broke from a wide post (10). This one is pretty Hawthorne Derby.
Good luck to everyone who participates in Thursday’s Aqueduct races!